AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 27

Calgary Wranglers at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Calgary Wranglers
3:2
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

CGYSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
70%30%
xG
4.33.1
High danger
87
Chances
1811
Shots
3933

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineCGY belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

39Shots on goal33
18Scoring chances11
8High-danger chances7
4.32Expected goals3.14

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st15–168–33–21.5–1.2
2nd21–910–45–32.7–1.1
3rd3–80–40–20.1–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Georgii Romanov
Shots faced
39
Saves
36
Allowed
3
xGA
4.32
GSAx
+1.32
Dustin Wolf
Shots faced
33
Saves
31
Allowed
2
xGA
3.14
GSAx
+1.14

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:28Ilya Solovyov (1–0)grade A · rebound · 30 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 1st 3:45Jacob Peterson (1–1)grade A · 9 ft · beat Dustin Wolf
  • 1st 8:34Thomas Bordeleau (1–2)medium · 14 ft · beat Dustin Wolf
  • 2nd 0:58Penalty
  • 2nd 2:54Brady Lyle (2–2)5v4 · low · 64 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 2nd 7:55Penalty
  • 2nd 9:49Penalty
  • 2nd 9:49Mitch McLain (3–2)5v4 · medium · rebound · 10 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 2nd 10:11Penalty
  • 2nd 17:47Penalty
  • 3rd 2:47Penalty
  • 3rd 13:45Penalty