AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, January 31

Utica Comets at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Utica Comets
4:3
Final
Laval Rocket

The sheet

UTCLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
68%32%
xG
4.22.8
High danger
84
Chances
139
Shots
4130

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineUTC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

41Shots on goal30
13Scoring chances9
8High-danger chances4
4.17Expected goals2.78

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–193–73–31.4–2.1
2nd15–83–20–10.9–0.5
3rd14–37–05–01.8–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LAV0:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LAV119:21 of the 3rd0:390:39+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jakub Dobeš
Shots faced
41
Saves
37
Allowed
4
xGA
4.17
GSAx
+0.17
Isaac Poulter
Shots faced
30
Saves
27
Allowed
3
xGA
2.78
GSAx
-0.22

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:42Emil Heineman (0–1)grade A · wrist · rebound · 4 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 1st 13:09Brandon Gignac (0–2)medium · wrist · 11 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 1st 16:32Penalty
  • 2nd 2:41Penalty
  • 2nd 4:52Santeri Hatakka (1–2)low · wrist · 38 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 2nd 6:32Penalty
  • 2nd 11:27Jan Myšák (1–3)medium · wrist · 9 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 2nd 12:03Penalty
  • 2nd 15:54Graeme Clarke (2–3)low · snap · 33 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 3rd 1:09Penalty
  • 3rd 1:33Brian Halonen (3–3)5v4 · medium · slap · 25 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 3rd 5:53Penalty
  • 3rd 9:07Penalty
  • 3rd 18:56Penalty
  • 3rd 19:21Brian Halonen (4–3)5v4 · medium · wrist · 42 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš