AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, February 2

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Hartford Wolf Pack

XL Center · Hartford, CT

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
4:5
Final / OT
Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

WBSHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
57%43%
xG
4.33.7
High danger
87
Chances
1718
Shots
4729

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HFD above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

47Shots on goal29
17Scoring chances18
8High-danger chances7
4.34Expected goals3.71

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st15–116–83–31.4–1.8
2nd13–103–60–20.9–1.1
3rd18–78–45–21.9–0.7
OT1–10–00–00.1–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

WBS0:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
WBS116:56 of the 3rd3:040:59+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Louis Domingue
Shots faced
47
Saves
43
Allowed
4
xGA
4.34
GSAx
+0.34
Magnus Hellberg
Shots faced
29
Saves
24
Allowed
5
xGA
3.71
GSAx
-1.29

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:09Joona Koppanen (1–0)medium · 13 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 1st 9:59Adam Sýkora (1–1)medium · 17 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 1st 15:43Penalty
  • 2nd 4:12Alex Belzile (1–2)high · 18 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 2nd 6:43Matthew Robertson (1–3)medium · 12 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 2nd 12:38Penalty
  • 2nd 12:45Brennan Othmann (1–4)5v4 · medium · 40 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 2nd 17:06Peter Abbandonato (2–4)medium · 16 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 3rd 6:43Vinnie Hinostroza (3–4)high · 7 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 3rd 7:26Penalty
  • 3rd 7:26Penalty
  • 3rd 7:26Penalty
  • 3rd 14:36Penalty
  • 3rd 17:55Vinnie Hinostroza (4–4)high · 9 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • OT 0:49Brett Berard (4–5)low · 30 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg