AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, February 2

Providence Bruins at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Providence Bruins
4:2
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

PROCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
27%73%
xG
2.02.8
High danger
27
Chances
810
Shots
1928

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the linePRO belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

19Shots on goal28
8Scoring chances10
2High-danger chances7
2.02Expected goals2.82

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–72–21–20.9–0.8
2nd6–164–61–50.7–1.8
3rd5–52–20–00.4–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLT−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLT216:00 of the 3rd4:004:00+0.019 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Brandon Bussi
Shots faced
28
Saves
26
Allowed
2
xGA
2.82
GSAx
+0.82
Spencer Knight
Shots faced
19
Saves
15
Allowed
4
xGA
2.02
GSAx
-1.98

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 15:58Anthony Richard (1–0)medium · 28 ft · beat Spencer Knight
  • 2nd 0:24Penalty
  • 2nd 1:23Fabian Lysell (2–0)5v4 · medium · 43 ft · beat Spencer Knight
  • 2nd 5:58Penalty
  • 2nd 8:16Penalty
  • 2nd 10:16Michael Benning (2–1)5v4 · low · 51 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 2nd 12:15Penalty
  • 2nd 12:15Penalty
  • 2nd 15:37Skyler Brind’Amour (2–2)low · rebound · 49 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 2nd 19:26Penalty
  • 3rd 0:34Patrick Brown (3–2)4v5 · medium · 28 ft · beat Spencer Knight
  • 3rd 6:01Penalty
  • 3rd 10:49Penalty
  • 3rd 10:49Penalty
  • 3rd 16:00Justin Brazeau (4–2)low · 49 ft · beat Spencer Knight