AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, February 2

Chicago Wolves at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse · Cleveland, OH

Chicago Wolves
5:0
Final
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

CHICLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
68%32%
xG
3.92.9
High danger
84
Chances
1912
Shots
3628

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

36Shots on goal28
19Scoring chances12
8High-danger chances4
3.93Expected goals2.87

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–67–33–21.3–0.8
2nd14–107–32–01.5–0.7
3rd11–125–63–21.1–1.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE34:26 of the 3rd15:3415:34+0.021 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jet Greaves
Shots faced
36
Saves
31
Allowed
5
xGA
3.93
GSAx
-1.07
Adam Scheel
Shots faced
28
Saves
28
Allowed
0
xGA
2.87
GSAx
+2.87

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:43Penalty
  • 2nd 4:53Rocco Grimaldi (1–0)high · 8 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 5:36Nathan Sucese (2–0)low · 60 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 8:12Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 4:26Nathan Sucese (3–0)high · 9 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 5:15Penalty
  • 3rd 5:15Penalty
  • 3rd 5:15Penalty
  • 3rd 7:59Penalty
  • 3rd 7:59Penalty
  • 3rd 9:18Max Comtois (4–0)high · 15 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 16:37Penalty
  • 3rd 18:25Nathan Sucese (5–0)5v4 · low · 40 ft · beat Jet Greaves