AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, February 2

Grand Rapids Griffins at Rockford IceHogs

BMO Center · Rockford, IL

Grand Rapids Griffins
3:2
Final / SO
Rockford IceHogs

The sheet

GRRFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
19%81%
xG
2.13.8
High danger
18
Chances
914
Shots
2627

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
RFD above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% RFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal27
9Scoring chances14
1High-danger chances8
2.08Expected goals3.80

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–75–30–20.9–0.7
2nd11–73–20–00.8–0.6
3rd4–121–81–60.3–2.5
OT0–10–10–00.0–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

RFD−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
RFD116:56 of the 3rd3:041:28+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
27
Saves
25
Allowed
2
xGA
3.80
GSAx
+1.80
Shots faced
26
Saves
24
Allowed
2
xGA
2.08
GSAx
+0.08

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:32Penalty
  • 1st 12:19Penalty
  • 1st 12:19Penalty
  • 1st 18:36Josiah Didier (1–0)medium · rebound · 51 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 2nd 11:52Penalty
  • 2nd 19:04Penalty
  • 3rd 3:52Penalty
  • 3rd 10:27David Gust (1–1)low · 34 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 3rd 15:50Amadeus Lombardi (2–1)high · 10 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 3rd 16:46Penalty
  • 3rd 18:24Mike Hardman (2–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 15 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa