AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 3

Tucson Roadrunners at Coachella Valley Firebirds

Acrisure Arena · Palm Desert, CA

Tucson Roadrunners
4:3
Final / SO
Coachella Valley Firebirds

The sheet

TUCCVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
50%50%
xG
4.33.7
High danger
78
Chances
1514
Shots
3739

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CV above the lineTUC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% CV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

37Shots on goal39
15Scoring chances14
7High-danger chances8
4.26Expected goals3.70

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–115–42–31.1–1.0
2nd10–147–33–11.7–1.0
3rd12–103–62–31.2–1.2
OT3–40–10–10.3–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
39
Saves
36
Allowed
3
xGA
3.70
GSAx
+0.70
Shots faced
37
Saves
34
Allowed
3
xGA
4.26
GSAx
+1.26

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:13Penalty
  • 1st 6:13Shane Wright (0–1)medium · 13 ft · beat Matthew Villalta
  • 1st 8:40John Leonard (1–1)medium · 12 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 1st 14:19Penalty
  • 1st 19:30Penalty
  • 2nd 4:28Penalty
  • 2nd 6:29Ryan Winterton (1–2)medium · 22 ft · beat Matthew Villalta
  • 2nd 6:55Travis Barron (2–2)grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 3rd 7:43Penalty
  • 3rd 10:54Ryan Winterton (2–3)medium · 9 ft · beat Matthew Villalta
  • 3rd 11:36Penalty
  • 3rd 11:36Penalty
  • 3rd 12:40Penalty
  • 3rd 12:57Josh Doan (3–3)5v4 · high · 14 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 3rd 17:53Penalty