AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, February 9

Laval Rocket at Toronto Marlies

Coca-Cola Coliseum · Toronto, ON

Laval Rocket
1:6
Final
Toronto Marlies

The sheet

LAVTORSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
19%81%
xG
2.44.4
High danger
15
Chances
1018
Shots
3240

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TOR above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% TOR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal40
10Scoring chances18
1High-danger chances5
2.41Expected goals4.37

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–173–71–20.6–1.8
2nd11–104–60–20.9–1.2
3rd15–133–50–10.9–1.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LAV−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LAV310:47 of the 3rd9:139:13+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jakub Dobeš
Shots faced
40
Saves
34
Allowed
6
xGA
4.37
GSAx
-1.63
Dennis Hildeby
Shots faced
32
Saves
31
Allowed
1
xGA
2.41
GSAx
+1.41

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:03Penalty
  • 1st 3:53Logan Shaw (0–1)5v4 · grade A · 22 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 1st 4:07Mitchell Stephens (1–1)high · 12 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • 1st 11:19Penalty
  • 1st 11:19Penalty
  • 1st 11:19Penalty
  • 1st 11:19Penalty
  • 1st 18:22Penalty
  • 2nd 4:16Penalty
  • 2nd 16:04Penalty
  • 3rd 7:57William Villeneuve (1–2)low · 31 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 3rd 10:32Marshall Rifai (1–3)low · 59 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 3rd 10:47Logan Shaw (1–4)medium · 18 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 3rd 12:26Penalty
  • 3rd 15:12Joseph Blandisi (1–5)empty net · low · 51 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 3rd 15:47Penalty
  • 3rd 15:47Penalty
  • 3rd 16:10Logan Shaw (1–6)medium · 30 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš