AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, February 9

Charlotte Checkers at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse · Cleveland, OH

Charlotte Checkers
4:3
Final / OT
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

CLTCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
54%46%
xG
3.52.5
High danger
22
Chances
1510
Shots
3935

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

39Shots on goal35
15Scoring chances10
2High-danger chances2
3.54Expected goals2.52

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13–116–21–01.1–0.6
2nd9–144–80–20.8–1.4
3rd16–95–01–01.5–0.4
OT1–10–00–00.1–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLT−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLT30:00 of the 3rd20:002:34+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jet Greaves
Shots faced
39
Saves
35
Allowed
4
xGA
3.54
GSAx
-0.46
Evan Cormier
Shots faced
35
Saves
32
Allowed
3
xGA
2.52
GSAx
-0.48

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 9:38Penalty
  • 1st 17:23Penalty
  • 1st 17:23Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 8:12Penalty
  • 2nd 9:52Penalty
  • 2nd 10:52Brendan Gaunce (0–1)5v4 · medium · 17 ft · beat Evan Cormier
  • 2nd 13:55Samuel Knazko (0–2)medium · 23 ft · beat Evan Cormier
  • 2nd 14:55Jake Christiansen (0–3)low · 23 ft · beat Evan Cormier
  • 2nd 18:45Penalty
  • 2nd 18:45Penalty
  • 3rd 2:34Skyler Brind’Amour (1–3)medium · 13 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 6:22Cameron Morrison (2–3)grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 10:40Wilmer Skoog (3–3)low · 47 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 12:31Penalty
  • OT 3:07Mackie Samoskevich (4–3)low · 7 ft · beat Jet Greaves