AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 10

Tucson Roadrunners at Iowa Wild

Wells Fargo Arena · Des Moines, IA

Tucson Roadrunners
4:5
Final / OT
Iowa Wild

The sheet

TUCIASolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
46%54%
xG
2.62.9
High danger
44
Chances
99
Shots
2334

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
IA above the lineTUC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% IA.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal34
9Scoring chances9
4High-danger chances4
2.58Expected goals2.86

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–112–61–20.6–1.3
2nd9–115–22–11.1–0.7
3rd6–82–01–00.8–0.2
OT1–40–10–10.1–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Dylan Wells
Shots faced
34
Saves
29
Allowed
5
xGA
2.86
GSAx
-2.14
Jesper Wallstedt
Shots faced
23
Saves
19
Allowed
4
xGA
2.58
GSAx
-1.42

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:29Adam Beckman (0–1)low · 54 ft · beat Dylan Wells
  • 1st 7:03Penalty
  • 1st 9:00Justin Kirkland (1–1)5v4 · medium · 26 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 1st 12:16Colin Theisen (2–1)grade A · rebound · 6 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 1st 15:29Penalty
  • 1st 15:29Penalty
  • 1st 15:29Penalty
  • 1st 15:29Penalty
  • 1st 16:37Steven Fogarty (2–2)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Dylan Wells
  • 1st 17:58Brenden Miller (2–3)medium · 10 ft · beat Dylan Wells
  • 1st 18:05Penalty
  • 2nd 10:53Penalty
  • 2nd 10:53Penalty
  • 2nd 12:28Sammy Walker (2–4)medium · 28 ft · beat Dylan Wells
  • 2nd 19:11Josh Doan (3–4)high · 4 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 2nd 19:33Penalty
  • 3rd 5:06Penalty
  • 3rd 5:34Penalty
  • 3rd 5:34Penalty
  • 3rd 7:08Cameron Hebig (4–4)grade A · rebound · 6 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • OT 2:48Penalty
  • OT 2:48Penalty
  • OT 3:29Penalty
  • OT 3:29Penalty
  • OT 3:29Sammy Walker (4–5)grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Dylan Wells