AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 10

Chicago Wolves at Rockford IceHogs

BMO Center · Rockford, IL

Chicago Wolves
1:2
Final
Rockford IceHogs

The sheet

CHIRFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
9%91%
xG
0.94.2
High danger
27
Chances
216
Shots
1635

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
RFD above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% RFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

16Shots on goal35
2Scoring chances16
2High-danger chances7
0.86Expected goals4.15

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–81–31–10.3–0.8
2nd6–121–61–20.4–1.4
3rd5–150–70–40.1–1.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Adam Scheel
Shots faced
35
Saves
33
Allowed
2
xGA
4.15
GSAx
+2.15
Jaxson Stauber
Shots faced
16
Saves
15
Allowed
1
xGA
0.86
GSAx
-0.14

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:22Penalty
  • 1st 4:22Penalty
  • 1st 18:54Penalty
  • 1st 18:54Penalty
  • 2nd 2:24Penalty
  • 2nd 4:52Penalty
  • 2nd 4:52Penalty
  • 2nd 8:11Penalty
  • 2nd 10:38Penalty
  • 2nd 12:02Mike Hardman (0–1)4v5 · medium · 13 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 2nd 13:36Penalty
  • 2nd 15:21Cory Conacher (1–1)4v5 · high · 9 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 2nd 15:51Penalty
  • 2nd 19:07Penalty
  • 2nd 19:07Penalty
  • 2nd 19:07Penalty
  • 3rd 1:29Mike Hardman (1–2)grade A · rebound · 17 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 3rd 5:04Penalty
  • 3rd 8:19Penalty
  • 3rd 16:06Penalty