AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 10

San Diego Gulls at Calgary Wranglers

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary, AB

San Diego Gulls
7:4
Final
Calgary Wranglers

The sheet

SDCGYSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
24%76%
xG
2.85.1
High danger
59
Chances
1016
Shots
1849

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

024P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CGY above the lineSD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% CGY.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

18Shots on goal49
10Scoring chances16
5High-danger chances9
2.84Expected goals5.07

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–252–91–50.6–2.4
2nd5–93–12–00.6–0.5
3rd8–155–62–41.7–2.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CGY−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CGY34:17 of the 3rd15:4315:43+0.021 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Tomas Suchanek
Shots faced
49
Saves
45
Allowed
4
xGA
5.07
GSAx
+1.07
Oscar Dansk
Shots faced
18
Saves
11
Allowed
7
xGA
2.84
GSAx
-4.16

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:07Ilya Nikolaev (0–1)medium · wrist · 32 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 1st 7:37Penalty
  • 1st 8:51Nikita Nesterenko (1–1)5v4 · grade A · snap · rebound · 9 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 1st 9:04Penalty
  • 1st 9:34Jonathan Aspirot (1–2)low · wrist · 60 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 1st 18:29Penalty
  • 1st 18:29Penalty
  • 1st 19:33Penalty
  • 2nd 1:29Andrew Agozzino (2–2)5v4 · high · snap · 10 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 2nd 3:03Judd Caulfield (3–2)medium · tip · 9 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 2nd 4:27Penalty
  • 2nd 4:27Penalty
  • 2nd 5:04Penalty
  • 2nd 5:32Olen Zellweger (4–2)5v4 · high · wrist · 34 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 2nd 7:23Penalty
  • 2nd 12:10Penalty
  • 2nd 16:14Penalty
  • 2nd 17:10Penalty
  • 2nd 18:26Penalty
  • 2nd 19:27Penalty
  • 3rd 1:34Penalty
  • 3rd 4:11Penalty
  • 3rd 4:17Andrew Agozzino (5–2)5v4 · grade A · snap · rebound · 9 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 3rd 6:29Penalty
  • 3rd 6:29Penalty
  • 3rd 6:29Penalty
  • 3rd 6:29Penalty
  • 3rd 6:37Penalty
  • 3rd 6:37Penalty
  • 3rd 7:07Penalty
  • 3rd 8:32Chase De Leo (6–2)5v4 · medium · wrist · 40 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 3rd 9:49Matthew Wedman (6–3)grade A · snap · rebound · 6 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 3rd 11:10Penalty
  • 3rd 11:10Penalty
  • 3rd 13:32Penalty
  • 3rd 14:30Matt Coronato (6–4)5v4 · medium · snap · 33 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 3rd 16:50Glenn Gawdin (7–4)empty net · low · wrist · 136 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 3rd 18:29Penalty