AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 10

Henderson Silver Knights at Coachella Valley Firebirds

Acrisure Arena · Palm Desert, CA

Henderson Silver Knights
0:4
Final
Coachella Valley Firebirds

The sheet

HSKCVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
30%70%
xG
2.02.9
High danger
36
Chances
99
Shots
2032

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CV above the lineHSK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% CV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal32
9Scoring chances9
3High-danger chances6
2.02Expected goals2.88

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–94–11–00.8–0.7
2nd6–142–31–20.6–1.0
3rd4–93–51–40.6–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HSK−40:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HSK40:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.012 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jiří Patera
Shots faced
32
Saves
28
Allowed
4
xGA
2.88
GSAx
-1.12
Chris Driedger
Shots faced
20
Saves
20
Allowed
0
xGA
2.02
GSAx
+2.02

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:20Logan Morrison (0–1)low · 25 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 1st 14:51Cameron Hughes (0–2)low · 26 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 1st 19:16Penalty
  • 2nd 7:10Penalty
  • 2nd 9:20Luke Henman (0–3)low · 34 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 2nd 12:56Logan Morrison (0–4)high · 18 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 2nd 13:32Penalty
  • 2nd 19:25Penalty
  • 2nd 19:25Penalty
  • 2nd 19:25Penalty
  • 3rd 9:01Penalty