AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, February 13

Grand Rapids Griffins at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse · Cleveland, OH

Grand Rapids Griffins
2:3
Final / SO
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

GRCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
65%35%
xG
4.43.3
High danger
117
Chances
1711
Shots
4229

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

42Shots on goal29
17Scoring chances11
11High-danger chances7
4.37Expected goals3.34

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–73–21–00.7–0.5
2nd14–129–78–62.4–2.0
3rd12–84–22–10.9–0.7
OT6–21–00–00.4–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

GR−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
GR212:08 of the 3rd7:521:51+0.028 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jet Greaves
Shots faced
42
Saves
40
Allowed
2
xGA
4.37
GSAx
+2.37
Michael Hutchinson
Shots faced
29
Saves
27
Allowed
2
xGA
3.34
GSAx
+1.34

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:03Penalty
  • 1st 11:06Penalty
  • 1st 17:55Penalty
  • 2nd 0:25Penalty
  • 2nd 4:09Penalty
  • 2nd 7:14Penalty
  • 2nd 7:14Penalty
  • 2nd 10:38Penalty
  • 2nd 13:03Carson Meyer (0–1)high · 8 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson
  • 2nd 15:48Penalty
  • 2nd 15:48Penalty
  • 2nd 15:48Penalty
  • 2nd 18:17Alex Whelan (0–2)high · 8 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson
  • 3rd 9:56Penalty
  • 3rd 13:59Jonatan Berggren (1–2)low · 66 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 15:09Antti Tuomisto (2–2)low · 51 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • OT 2:39Penalty