AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, February 16

Laval Rocket at Hartford Wolf Pack

XL Center · Hartford, CT

Laval Rocket
5:2
Final
Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

LAVHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
24%76%
xG
1.93.5
High danger
24
Chances
711
Shots
2436

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HFD above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal36
7Scoring chances11
2High-danger chances4
1.86Expected goals3.51

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–132–40–20.7–1.7
2nd6–112–30–10.5–0.9
3rd9–123–42–10.7–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD311:13 of the 3rd8:478:47+0.012 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jakub Dobeš
Shots faced
36
Saves
34
Allowed
2
xGA
3.51
GSAx
+1.51
Louis Domingue
Shots faced
24
Saves
19
Allowed
5
xGA
1.87
GSAx
-3.13

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:51Anton Blidh (0–1)grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 1st 4:57Penalty
  • 1st 10:51Penalty
  • 1st 10:51Penalty
  • 1st 11:23Penalty
  • 1st 17:59Penalty
  • 1st 19:00Mitchell Stephens (1–1)5v4 · medium · 13 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 2nd 5:08Penalty
  • 2nd 10:11Penalty
  • 2nd 15:20Jared Davidson (2–1)low · 26 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 2nd 19:00Tobie Bisson (3–1)low · 52 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 3rd 2:54Penalty
  • 3rd 8:01Penalty
  • 3rd 8:01Penalty
  • 3rd 8:01Penalty
  • 3rd 8:47Penalty
  • 3rd 11:13Jared Davidson (4–1)5v4 · low · 34 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 3rd 13:21Penalty
  • 3rd 15:29Brett Berard (4–2)high · rebound · 11 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 3rd 18:38Jared Davidson (5–2)empty net · low · 119 ft · beat Louis Domingue