AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, February 16

Chicago Wolves at Rockford IceHogs

BMO Center · Rockford, IL

Chicago Wolves
0:4
Final
Rockford IceHogs

The sheet

CHIRFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
64%36%
xG
2.11.6
High danger
33
Chances
96
Shots
2420

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
RFD above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% RFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal20
9Scoring chances6
3High-danger chances3
2.05Expected goals1.63

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–121–20–10.3–0.7
2nd10–46–11–11.1–0.4
3rd8–42–32–10.6–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI38:09 of the 3rd11:5111:51+0.017 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jaxson Stauber
Shots faced
24
Saves
24
Allowed
0
xGA
2.05
GSAx
+2.05
Adam Scheel
Shots faced
20
Saves
16
Allowed
4
xGA
1.63
GSAx
-2.37

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:43Nolan Allan (0–1)low · 66 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 1st 11:26Penalty
  • 1st 12:14Penalty
  • 1st 13:05Colton Dach (0–2)5v4 · high · 14 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 1st 15:32Penalty
  • 2nd 3:01Penalty
  • 2nd 3:37Penalty
  • 2nd 6:23Penalty
  • 2nd 6:23Penalty
  • 2nd 8:13Penalty
  • 2nd 12:12Penalty
  • 2nd 12:12Penalty
  • 2nd 14:24Penalty
  • 2nd 14:24Penalty
  • 2nd 14:24Penalty
  • 2nd 14:24Penalty
  • 2nd 14:24Penalty
  • 2nd 16:31Penalty
  • 2nd 16:31Penalty
  • 2nd 16:31Penalty
  • 2nd 16:31Penalty
  • 2nd 19:58Penalty
  • 3rd 5:11Penalty
  • 3rd 8:09Jackson Cates (0–3)high · 15 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 3rd 14:05Penalty
  • 3rd 16:06Penalty
  • 3rd 16:06Penalty
  • 3rd 19:00Jaxson Stauber (0–4)empty net · low · 180 ft · beat Adam Scheel