Syracuse Crunch at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Syracuse Crunch

2:1

Final

Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

SYRLVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

71%29%

xG: 3.11.8
High danger: 63
Chances: 126
Shots: 2626

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

LV above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal26

12Scoring chances6

6High-danger chances3

3.07Expected goals1.80

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	8–7	4–0	1–0	0.7–0.2
2nd	14–9	6–6	4–3	2.0–1.2
3rd	4–10	2–0	1–0	0.4–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
LV	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	3:04	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Parker Gahagen

Shots faced: 26
Saves: 24
Allowed: 2
xGA: 3.07
GSAx: +1.07

Hugo Alnefelt

Shots faced: 26
Saves: 25
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.80
GSAx: +0.80

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 12:19Penalty
2nd 4:06Penalty
2nd 6:18Penalty
2nd 9:30Penalty
2nd 11:26Gabriel Dumont (1–0)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
2nd 16:51Penalty
2nd 18:02Rhett Gardner (1–1)5v4 · medium · 10 ft · beat Hugo Alnefelt
3rd 1:08Penalty
3rd 1:32Cole Koepke (2–1)5v4 · medium · 31 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
3rd 8:49Penalty
3rd 19:33Penalty
3rd 19:33Penalty
3rd 19:33Penalty