AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, February 18

Springfield Thunderbirds at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Springfield Thunderbirds
3:5
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

SPRCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
9%91%
xG
1.64.7
High danger
28
Chances
418
Shots
2341

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineSPR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal41
4Scoring chances18
2High-danger chances8
1.57Expected goals4.71

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–181–71–20.6–1.9
2nd5–161–80–40.2–2.1
3rd11–72–31–20.8–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SPR−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SPR212:08 of the 3rd7:523:48+0.028 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Malcolm Subban
Shots faced
41
Saves
36
Allowed
5
xGA
4.71
GSAx
-0.29
Spencer Knight
Shots faced
23
Saves
20
Allowed
3
xGA
1.57
GSAx
-1.43

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:47Penalty
  • 1st 9:22Gerry Mayhew (0–1)medium · 19 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 1st 12:03Penalty
  • 1st 14:38Penalty
  • 1st 14:48Penalty
  • 1st 18:51Zach Dean (1–1)grade A · 17 ft · beat Spencer Knight
  • 2nd 2:13Ryan McAllister (1–2)low · 33 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 2nd 2:26Penalty
  • 2nd 9:29Penalty
  • 2nd 10:49Zac Dalpe (1–3)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 5 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 2nd 15:49Penalty
  • 2nd 19:39Penalty
  • 2nd 19:39Penalty
  • 3rd 0:39Joseph Duszak (2–3)low · 42 ft · beat Spencer Knight
  • 3rd 12:04Justin Sourdif (2–4)high · rebound · 8 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 3rd 12:52Matthew Peca (3–4)low · 51 ft · beat Spencer Knight
  • 3rd 17:09Penalty
  • 3rd 18:50Penalty
  • 3rd 19:29Penalty
  • 3rd 19:29Gerry Mayhew (3–5)empty net · low · 36 ft · beat Malcolm Subban