AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, February 18

Cleveland Monsters at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Cleveland Monsters
6:3
Final
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

CLECHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
53%47%
xG
2.62.5
High danger
22
Chances
78
Shots
3633

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

36Shots on goal33
7Scoring chances8
2High-danger chances2
2.56Expected goals2.50

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st16–94–11–01.4–0.5
2nd7–120–60–20.2–1.3
3rd13–123–11–01.0–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Julian Junca
Shots faced
35
Saves
30
Allowed
5
xGA
2.56
GSAx
-2.44
Jet Greaves
Shots faced
33
Saves
30
Allowed
3
xGA
2.50
GSAx
-0.50

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:23Josh Melnick (0–1)low · 53 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 1st 2:41Jake Christiansen (1–1)grade A · rebound · 16 ft · beat Julian Junca
  • 1st 10:07Marcus Björk (2–1)low · 56 ft · beat Julian Junca
  • 1st 17:25Penalty
  • 1st 17:25Penalty
  • 2nd 4:03Chris Terry (2–2)medium · 23 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 14:45Cavan Fitzgerald (2–3)medium · 12 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 16:28Penalty
  • 3rd 1:17Carson Meyer (3–3)grade A · 7 ft · beat Julian Junca
  • 3rd 5:08Penalty
  • 3rd 7:57James Malatesta (4–3)low · 39 ft · beat Julian Junca
  • 3rd 8:46Penalty
  • 3rd 19:16Hunter McKown (5–3)empty net · low · 84 ft
  • 3rd 19:52Roman Ahcan (6–3)empty net · low · 70 ft · beat Julian Junca