AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, February 20

San Diego Gulls at Bakersfield Condors

Mechanics Bank Arena · Bakersfield, CA

San Diego Gulls
3:4
Final / OT
Bakersfield Condors

The sheet

SDBAKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
31%69%
xG
3.24.1
High danger
47
Chances
1015
Shots
3445

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BAK above the lineSD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% BAK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal45
10Scoring chances15
4High-danger chances7
3.23Expected goals4.09

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–214–63–21.2–1.7
2nd16–133–51–31.2–1.2
3rd7–103–40–20.6–1.1
OT2–10–00–00.2–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Tomas Suchanek
Shots faced
45
Saves
41
Allowed
4
xGA
4.09
GSAx
+0.09
Olivier Rodrigue
Shots faced
34
Saves
31
Allowed
3
xGA
3.23
GSAx
+0.23

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:23Penalty
  • 1st 3:02Pavol Regenda (1–0)5v4 · grade A · wrist · rebound · 11 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 1st 3:19Penalty
  • 1st 3:35Andrew Agozzino (2–0)5v4 · high · wrist · rebound · 13 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 1st 8:59Penalty
  • 1st 9:12Lane Pederson (2–1)5v4 · high · wrist · rebound · 10 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 1st 16:11Penalty
  • 1st 16:37Raphael Lavoie (2–2)5v4 · grade A · slap · 36 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 1st 19:24Penalty
  • 1st 19:58Lane Pederson (2–3)5v4 · medium · wrist · 33 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 2nd 2:46Penalty
  • 2nd 4:05Penalty
  • 2nd 10:16Penalty
  • 2nd 17:09Penalty
  • 2nd 17:48Glenn Gawdin (3–3)5v4 · medium · wrist · 31 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 2nd 18:15Penalty
  • 3rd 1:42Penalty
  • 3rd 17:27Penalty
  • OT 1:46Carter Savoie (3–4)low · wrist · 31 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek