AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, February 21

Bridgeport Islanders at Hartford Wolf Pack

XL Center · Hartford, CT

Bridgeport Islanders
1:2
Final
Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

BRIHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
48%52%
xG
2.52.9
High danger
66
Chances
1110
Shots
3027

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HFD above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal27
11Scoring chances10
6High-danger chances6
2.50Expected goals2.88

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–122–40–10.6–1.0
2nd12–97–55–51.5–1.4
3rd10–62–11–00.5–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Dylan Garand
Shots faced
30
Saves
29
Allowed
1
xGA
2.50
GSAx
+1.50
Ken Appleby
Shots faced
27
Saves
25
Allowed
2
xGA
2.88
GSAx
+0.88

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:10Penalty
  • 1st 5:29Jake Leschyshyn (0–1)5v4 · high · 15 ft · beat Ken Appleby
  • 1st 16:08Penalty
  • 1st 19:31Penalty
  • 1st 19:31Penalty
  • 2nd 0:43Penalty
  • 2nd 4:14Brennan Othmann (0–2)grade A · rebound · 13 ft · beat Ken Appleby
  • 2nd 12:03Matthew Maggio (1–2)high · 7 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 14:32Penalty
  • 2nd 14:32Penalty
  • 2nd 14:32Penalty