AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, February 21

Abbotsford Canucks at Ontario Reign

Toyota Arena · Ontario, CA

Abbotsford Canucks
2:1
Final / SO
Ontario Reign

The sheet

ABBONTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
72%28%
xG
2.92.1
High danger
61
Chances
88
Shots
2926

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ONT above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% ONT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal26
8Scoring chances8
6High-danger chances1
2.88Expected goals2.06

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–101–51–10.5–1.1
2nd9–62–21–00.6–0.5
3rd9–94–13–01.3–0.5
OT4–11–01–00.5–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ABB0:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ABB116:56 of the 3rd3:040:54+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
29
Saves
28
Allowed
1
xGA
2.87
GSAx
+1.87
Shots faced
26
Saves
25
Allowed
1
xGA
2.06
GSAx
+1.06

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:57Penalty
  • 1st 10:35Penalty
  • 1st 13:19Penalty
  • 1st 14:09Penalty
  • 1st 18:09Penalty
  • 1st 18:52Penalty
  • 2nd 4:01Tyler Madden (0–1)medium · 8 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 2nd 9:06Penalty
  • 2nd 10:58Penalty
  • 2nd 13:33Penalty
  • 3rd 6:30Penalty
  • 3rd 16:16Penalty
  • 3rd 16:16Penalty
  • 3rd 17:50Sheldon Dries (1–1)grade A · rebound · 15 ft · beat Erik Portillo