AHLDashboard
‹ Thursday, February 22

Milwaukee Admirals at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Milwaukee Admirals
4:0
Final
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

MILCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
47%53%
xG
2.12.1
High danger
24
Chances
74
Shots
2627

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineMIL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal27
7Scoring chances4
2High-danger chances4
2.07Expected goals2.10

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–102–21–20.6–0.9
2nd9–112–00–00.6–0.6
3rd10–63–21–20.9–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI212:08 of the 3rd7:527:52+0.028 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
27
Saves
27
Allowed
0
xGA
2.10
GSAx
+2.10
Shots faced
26
Saves
22
Allowed
4
xGA
2.07
GSAx
-1.93

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:57Adam Wilsby (1–0)low · 50 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 1st 1:29Penalty
  • 1st 10:46Penalty
  • 2nd 6:01Penalty
  • 2nd 8:09Penalty
  • 2nd 11:12Penalty
  • 3rd 2:10Zach L’Heureux (2–0)high · 17 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 3rd 7:01Penalty
  • 3rd 7:37Penalty
  • 3rd 18:17Zach L’Heureux (3–0)empty net · low · 49 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 3rd 19:25Cody Hodgson (4–0)medium · 20 ft · beat Adam Scheel