AHLDashboard
‹ Thursday, February 22

Cleveland Monsters at Hartford Wolf Pack

XL Center · Hartford, CT

Cleveland Monsters
4:3
Final / SO
Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

CLEHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
55%45%
xG
3.43.4
High danger
64
Chances
1317
Shots
3337

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HFD above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal37
13Scoring chances17
6High-danger chances4
3.45Expected goals3.44

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–84–32–01.1–0.6
2nd9–173–80–30.7–1.8
3rd10–115–63–11.2–1.0
OT4–11–01–00.5–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD0:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD116:56 of the 3rd3:040:52+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jet Greaves
Shots faced
37
Saves
34
Allowed
3
xGA
3.45
GSAx
+0.45
Louis Domingue
Shots faced
33
Saves
30
Allowed
3
xGA
3.45
GSAx
+0.45

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:45Penalty
  • 1st 4:21Penalty
  • 1st 4:37Brendan Gaunce (1–0)5v4 · high · 12 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 1st 8:10Penalty
  • 1st 8:43Jake Christiansen (2–0)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 29 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 2nd 4:41Penalty
  • 2nd 5:21Roman Ahcan (3–0)4v5 · medium · 9 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 2nd 6:05Tyler Pitlick (3–1)5v4 · medium · 18 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 10:11Penalty
  • 3rd 8:39Penalty
  • 3rd 9:35Brett Berard (3–2)4v5 · medium · 14 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 16:26Penalty
  • 3rd 17:48Ryder Korczak (3–3)5v4 · medium · 28 ft · beat Jet Greaves