AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, February 23

Belleville Senators at Rochester Americans

Blue Cross Arena · Rochester, NY

Belleville Senators
2:1
Final / SO
Rochester Americans

The sheet

BELROCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
66%34%
xG
2.32.1
High danger
41
Chances
88
Shots
3325

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ROC above the lineBEL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% ROC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal25
8Scoring chances8
4High-danger chances1
2.33Expected goals2.14

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–52–21–00.6–0.4
2nd9–133–51–10.6–1.1
3rd14–23–02–01.0–0.2
OT3–50–10–00.2–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
33
Saves
32
Allowed
1
xGA
2.33
GSAx
+1.33
Shots faced
13
Saves
13
Allowed
0
xGA
1.02
GSAx
+1.02
Shots faced
12
Saves
11
Allowed
1
xGA
1.11
GSAx
+0.11

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:59Penalty
  • 1st 12:43Penalty
  • 2nd 9:10Mason Jobst (0–1)medium · 6 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
  • 2nd 11:37Penalty
  • 2nd 16:12Penalty
  • 2nd 19:49Penalty
  • 2nd 19:49Penalty
  • 2nd 19:49Penalty
  • 3rd 9:26Penalty
  • 3rd 16:49Zack MacEwen (1–1)medium · 15 ft · beat Dustin Tokarski
  • OT 4:02Penalty