AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 24

Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
6:5
Final / OT
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

LVCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
63%37%
xG
4.03.4
High danger
84
Chances
1614
Shots
2833

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal33
16Scoring chances14
8High-danger chances4
3.99Expected goals3.36

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–133–50–10.7–1.2
2nd10–55–32–11.1–0.6
3rd11–127–65–22.0–1.3
OT1–31–01–00.3–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV116:56 of the 3rd3:042:22+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Felix Sandström
Shots faced
33
Saves
28
Allowed
5
xGA
3.36
GSAx
-1.64
Evan Cormier
Shots faced
28
Saves
22
Allowed
6
xGA
3.99
GSAx
-2.01

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:02Penalty
  • 1st 11:30Bobby Brink (1–0)low · 25 ft · beat Evan Cormier
  • 1st 15:27Penalty
  • 1st 18:18Patrick Giles (1–1)high · rebound · 25 ft · beat Felix Sandström
  • 2nd 3:33Penalty
  • 2nd 3:58Penalty
  • 2nd 4:51Mackie Samoskevich (1–2)low · 23 ft · beat Felix Sandström
  • 2nd 9:09Penalty
  • 2nd 16:16Penalty
  • 2nd 16:16Penalty
  • 3rd 1:16Wilmer Skoog (1–3)medium · 26 ft · beat Felix Sandström
  • 3rd 2:25Penalty
  • 3rd 3:19Cooper Marody (2–3)5v4 · medium · 34 ft · beat Evan Cormier
  • 3rd 3:35Penalty
  • 3rd 4:24Justin Sourdif (2–4)5v4 · medium · 33 ft · beat Felix Sandström
  • 3rd 5:06Penalty
  • 3rd 6:30Ronnie Attard (3–4)4v5 · high · rebound · 21 ft · beat Evan Cormier
  • 3rd 7:24Penalty
  • 3rd 10:11Penalty
  • 3rd 10:11Penalty
  • 3rd 11:40Penalty
  • 3rd 12:46Olle Lycksell (4–4)5v4 · low · 46 ft · beat Evan Cormier
  • 3rd 13:52Wilmer Skoog (4–5)high · rebound · 35 ft · beat Felix Sandström
  • 3rd 19:18Olle Lycksell (5–5)grade A · rebound · 29 ft · beat Evan Cormier
  • OT 1:35Penalty
  • OT 4:45Bobby Brink (6–5)high · 34 ft · beat Evan Cormier