Abbotsford Canucks at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Abbotsford Canucks

5:2

Final

San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

ABBSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

61%39%

xG: 3.43.4
High danger: 107
Chances: 1512
Shots: 2831

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

SJ above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal31

15Scoring chances12

10High-danger chances7

3.36Expected goals3.41

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	8–9	4–5	3–3	0.9–1.1
2nd	10–10	6–4	3–2	1.0–1.1
3rd	10–12	5–3	4–2	1.4–1.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
SJ	2	14:20 of the 3rd	5:40	5:40	+0.025 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Artūrs Šilovs

Shots faced: 31
Saves: 29
Allowed: 2
xGA: 3.41
GSAx: +1.41

Magnus Chrona

Shots faced: 28
Saves: 23
Allowed: 5
xGA: 3.36
GSAx: -1.64

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 0:29Penalty
1st 1:38Linus Karlsson (1–0)5v4 · high · 8 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
1st 5:24Penalty
1st 5:24Penalty
1st 6:29Sheldon Dries (2–0)high · 9 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
1st 11:10Penalty
1st 12:12Thomas Bordeleau (2–1)5v4 · medium · 14 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
1st 15:02Penalty
2nd 3:36Penalty
2nd 6:22Penalty
3rd 0:33Penalty
3rd 2:14Scott Sabourin (2–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
3rd 2:40Penalty
3rd 4:36Aatu Räty (3–2)4v5 · grade A · rebound · 16 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
3rd 14:20Chase Wouters (4–2)high · 13 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
3rd 18:36Aatu Räty (5–2)empty net · low · 85 ft · beat Magnus Chrona