AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 24

Bridgeport Islanders at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Sun Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Bridgeport Islanders
1:4
Final
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

BRIWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
19%81%
xG
2.33.0
High danger
15
Chances
69
Shots
3230

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
WBS above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal30
6Scoring chances9
1High-danger chances5
2.28Expected goals2.98

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–82–41–30.7–1.5
2nd11–133–30–10.8–0.9
3rd13–91–20–10.8–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI212:08 of the 3rd7:527:52+0.028 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Magnus Hellberg
Shots faced
32
Saves
31
Allowed
1
xGA
2.28
GSAx
+1.28
Jakub Skarek
Shots faced
30
Saves
26
Allowed
4
xGA
2.98
GSAx
-1.02

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:03Jonathan Gruden (0–1)grade A · tip · rebound · 10 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 1st 2:51Jagger Joshua (0–2)grade A · tip · rebound · 6 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 1st 4:54Penalty
  • 1st 4:54Penalty
  • 1st 18:21Penalty
  • 2nd 7:16Penalty
  • 2nd 9:47Penalty
  • 2nd 17:36Penalty
  • 2nd 17:36Penalty
  • 3rd 4:17Karson Kuhlman (1–2)medium · wrist · 13 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 3rd 4:44Dmitri Samorukov (1–3)low · wrist · 57 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 3rd 11:24Penalty
  • 3rd 15:59Penalty
  • 3rd 18:06Matt Filipe (1–4)empty net · high · tip · 8 ft · beat Jakub Skarek