AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 24

Rochester Americans at Hershey Bears

Giant Center · Hershey, PA

Rochester Americans
1:2
Final / OT
Hershey Bears

The sheet

ROCHERSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
35%65%
xG
2.84.2
High danger
56
Chances
812
Shots
2539

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HER above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% HER.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal39
8Scoring chances12
5High-danger chances6
2.76Expected goals4.20

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–34–22–01.3–0.3
2nd8–222–51–30.7–1.9
3rd6–122–32–10.7–1.0
OT0–20–20–20.0–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
39
Saves
37
Allowed
2
xGA
4.20
GSAx
+2.20
Shots faced
25
Saves
24
Allowed
1
xGA
2.76
GSAx
+1.76

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:18Penalty
  • 1st 12:56Penalty
  • 1st 15:46Penalty
  • 1st 15:46Penalty
  • 1st 15:46Penalty
  • 1st 17:26Penalty
  • 1st 17:47Isak Rosén (1–0)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 14 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 2:38Bogdan Trineyev (1–1)low · 36 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 2nd 9:27Penalty
  • 2nd 9:27Penalty
  • 2nd 18:59Penalty
  • 3rd 1:27Penalty
  • 3rd 9:50Penalty
  • 3rd 14:42Penalty
  • 3rd 19:19Penalty
  • OT 1:20Alex Limoges (1–2)grade A · 7 ft · beat Devon Levi