Texas Stars at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Texas Stars

1:4

Final

Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

TEXGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

16%84%

xG: 2.03.8
High danger: 26
Chances: 416
Shots: 2338

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

GR above the lineTEX belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal38

4Scoring chances16

2High-danger chances6

1.95Expected goals3.83

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	10–12	2–5	1–3	1.0–1.2
2nd	5–13	1–4	1–0	0.5–1.2
3rd	8–13	1–7	0–3	0.4–1.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
TEX	2	12:08 of the 3rd	7:52	7:52	+0.028 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Rémi Poirier

Shots faced: 38
Saves: 34
Allowed: 4
xGA: 3.83
GSAx: -0.17

Michael Hutchinson

Shots faced: 23
Saves: 22
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.95
GSAx: +0.95

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 0:44Christian Kyrou (1–0)low · 42 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson
1st 5:56Penalty
1st 8:04Penalty
1st 10:51Penalty
1st 13:26Penalty
2nd 7:32Jonatan Berggren (1–1)medium · 16 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
2nd 7:45Elmer Söderblom (1–2)low · 26 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
2nd 16:20Penalty
2nd 18:26Penalty
3rd 6:40Simon Edvinsson (1–3)low · 27 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
3rd 9:51Penalty
3rd 19:42Dominik Shine (1–4)empty net · low · 52 ft · beat Rémi Poirier