AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, February 25

Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
3:6
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

LVCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
21%79%
xG
2.03.5
High danger
25
Chances
813
Shots
1334

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

13Shots on goal34
8Scoring chances13
2High-danger chances5
1.97Expected goals3.53

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–153–40–10.6–1.4
2nd6–144–72–21.2–1.6
3rd1–51–20–20.1–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV34:17 of the 3rd15:4315:43+0.021 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Parker Gahagen
Shots faced
34
Saves
28
Allowed
6
xGA
3.53
GSAx
-2.47
Spencer Knight
Shots faced
13
Saves
10
Allowed
3
xGA
1.97
GSAx
-1.03

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:04Penalty
  • 1st 3:59Penalty
  • 1st 10:18Penalty
  • 1st 11:32Gerry Mayhew (0–1)5v4 · medium · 30 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 1st 12:05Alexander True (0–2)high · 10 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 1st 15:28Ethan Samson (1–2)low · 32 ft · beat Spencer Knight
  • 1st 17:44Penalty
  • 2nd 2:17Adam Brooks (2–2)grade A · 12 ft · beat Spencer Knight
  • 2nd 6:25Lucas Carlsson (2–3)low · 45 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 2nd 12:51Penalty
  • 2nd 12:51Penalty
  • 2nd 12:51Penalty
  • 2nd 14:27Gerry Mayhew (2–4)5v4 · grade A · 20 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 2nd 14:49Brendan Furry (3–4)grade A · rebound · 23 ft · beat Spencer Knight
  • 2nd 19:59Cameron Morrison (3–5)medium · 15 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 3rd 1:49Penalty
  • 3rd 4:17Cameron Morrison (3–6)high · 18 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 3rd 9:01Penalty
  • 3rd 11:19Penalty
  • 3rd 15:40Penalty
  • 3rd 15:40Penalty