Laval Rocket at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Laval Rocket

4:0

Final

Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

LAVBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

36%64%

xG: 2.32.9
High danger: 34
Chances: 510
Shots: 3135

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

BRI above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal35

5Scoring chances10

3High-danger chances4

2.30Expected goals2.91

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	12–13	1–2	0–1	0.4–1.0
2nd	13–14	4–7	3–3	1.6–1.5
3rd	6–8	0–1	0–0	0.3–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
BRI	4	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.012 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jakub Dobeš

Shots faced: 35
Saves: 35
Allowed: 0
xGA: 2.91
GSAx: +2.91

Ken Appleby

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 21
Allowed: 4
xGA: 2.03
GSAx: -1.97

Henrik Tikkanen

Shots faced: 6
Saves: 6
Allowed: 0
xGA: 0.27
GSAx: +0.27

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 15:53Penalty
2nd 5:13Penalty
2nd 8:24Philippe Maillet (1–0)grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Ken Appleby
2nd 8:58Jared Davidson (2–0)grade A · rebound · 15 ft · beat Ken Appleby
2nd 9:47Penalty
2nd 15:33Filip Cederqvist (3–0)high · 23 ft · beat Ken Appleby
2nd 15:53Emil Heineman (4–0)low · 43 ft · beat Ken Appleby
2nd 17:28Penalty