AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, March 1

Charlotte Checkers at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Sun Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Charlotte Checkers
1:4
Final
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

CLTWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
19%81%
xG
1.72.9
High danger
25
Chances
810
Shots
2236

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
WBS above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal36
8Scoring chances10
2High-danger chances5
1.71Expected goals2.93

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–83–12–10.6–0.5
2nd7–142–50–10.6–1.4
3rd9–143–40–30.5–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLT−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLT212:08 of the 3rd7:527:52+0.028 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Evan Cormier
Shots faced
36
Saves
32
Allowed
4
xGA
2.93
GSAx
-1.07
Joel Blomqvist
Shots faced
22
Saves
21
Allowed
1
xGA
1.71
GSAx
+0.71

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:12Penalty
  • 1st 7:30Penalty
  • 1st 9:49Wilmer Skoog (1–0)high · slap · rebound · 23 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 1st 9:55Penalty
  • 1st 13:51Penalty
  • 1st 15:34Penalty
  • 2nd 4:58Vinnie Hinostroza (1–1)low · slap · 50 ft · beat Evan Cormier
  • 2nd 8:52Penalty
  • 2nd 11:11Penalty
  • 2nd 12:52Vinnie Hinostroza (1–2)5v4 · low · wrist · 39 ft · beat Evan Cormier
  • 2nd 14:42Penalty
  • 2nd 19:46Penalty
  • 3rd 7:37Austin Rueschhoff (1–3)low · tip · 15 ft · beat Evan Cormier
  • 3rd 17:31Penalty
  • 3rd 17:31Penalty
  • 3rd 17:31Penalty
  • 3rd 17:48Radim Zohorna (1–4)empty net · high · tip · 26 ft · beat Evan Cormier