Chicago Wolves at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse · Cleveland, OH

Chicago Wolves

1:6

Final

Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

CHICLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

11%89%

xG: 1.53.9
High danger: 15
Chances: 413
Shots: 2337

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CLE above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal37

4Scoring chances13

1High-danger chances5

1.46Expected goals3.88

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	7–11	2–2	0–1	0.4–1.1
2nd	6–17	1–7	1–1	0.4–1.7
3rd	10–9	1–4	0–3	0.7–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CHI	6	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.001 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Adam Scheel

Shots faced: 37
Saves: 31
Allowed: 6
xGA: 3.87
GSAx: -2.13

Jet Greaves

Shots faced: 23
Saves: 22
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.46
GSAx: +0.46

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 11:24Penalty
1st 17:45Penalty
1st 17:49Carson Meyer (0–1)5v4 · grade A · 14 ft · beat Adam Scheel
2nd 5:16Penalty
2nd 8:51Carson Meyer (0–2)high · 12 ft · beat Adam Scheel
2nd 12:44Justin Pearson (0–3)medium · 23 ft · beat Adam Scheel
2nd 13:19Penalty
2nd 16:52Trey Fix-Wolansky (0–4)low · 40 ft · beat Adam Scheel
2nd 17:49Brendan Gaunce (0–5)low · 33 ft · beat Adam Scheel
2nd 19:43Penalty
2nd 19:43Hunter McKown (0–6)low · 27 ft · beat Adam Scheel
2nd 20:00Penalty
3rd 3:08Cole Schneider (1–6)medium · 11 ft · beat Jet Greaves
3rd 7:14Penalty
3rd 15:49Penalty
3rd 15:49Penalty
3rd 17:49Penalty