AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, March 2

Laval Rocket at Springfield Thunderbirds

MassMutual Center · Springfield, MA

Laval Rocket
3:7
Final
Springfield Thunderbirds

The sheet

LAVSPRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
67%33%
xG
6.03.7
High danger
910
Chances
2619
Shots
5627

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0246P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SPR above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% SPR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

56Shots on goal27
26Scoring chances19
9High-danger chances10
6.04Expected goals3.74

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st26–712–54–03.0–0.8
2nd15–910–74–61.9–1.4
3rd15–114–71–41.1–1.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LAV−3−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LAV32:27 of the 3rd17:3312:41+0.022 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Vadim Zherenko
Shots faced
56
Saves
53
Allowed
3
xGA
6.04
GSAx
+3.04
Jakub Dobeš
Shots faced
27
Saves
20
Allowed
7
xGA
3.74
GSAx
-3.26

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:43Penalty
  • 1st 4:37Lias Andersson (1–0)5v4 · medium · 17 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 1st 7:30Penalty
  • 1st 10:50Ryan Suzuki (1–1)medium · 12 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 1st 11:31Penalty
  • 1st 11:38Dylan Coghlan (1–2)5v4 · low · 45 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 1st 12:36Philippe Maillet (2–2)low · 16 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 1st 14:16Penalty
  • 1st 14:16Penalty
  • 1st 16:49Penalty
  • 1st 16:49Penalty
  • 2nd 0:31Penalty
  • 2nd 5:57Adam Gaudette (2–3)high · rebound · 9 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 2nd 6:40Will Bitten (2–4)medium · 12 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 2nd 9:16Penalty
  • 2nd 13:27Penalty
  • 2nd 18:21Penalty
  • 3rd 2:27Drew Callin (2–5)high · 10 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 3rd 6:31Mattias Norlinder (3–5)medium · rebound · 61 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 3rd 7:43Penalty
  • 3rd 8:00Penalty
  • 3rd 11:23Mikhail Abramov (3–6)high · 9 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 3rd 13:44Penalty
  • 3rd 13:44Penalty
  • 3rd 13:44Penalty
  • 3rd 13:44Penalty
  • 3rd 16:38Keean Washkurak (3–7)5v4 · medium · 18 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš