AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, March 3

Texas Stars at Manitoba Moose

Canada Life Centre · Winnipeg, MB

Texas Stars
2:6
Final
Manitoba Moose

The sheet

TEXMBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
63%37%
xG
3.33.0
High danger
85
Chances
1210
Shots
3228

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MB above the lineTEX belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% MB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal28
12Scoring chances10
8High-danger chances5
3.30Expected goals3.00

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st15–85–33–11.3–1.1
2nd11–106–34–11.5–0.9
3rd6–101–41–30.4–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TEX−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TEX32:58 of the 3rd17:0217:02+0.022 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Collin Delia
Shots faced
32
Saves
30
Allowed
2
xGA
3.30
GSAx
+1.30
Rémi Poirier
Shots faced
28
Saves
22
Allowed
6
xGA
3.00
GSAx
-3.00

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:57Penalty
  • 1st 2:49Jeff Malott (0–1)5v4 · medium · 26 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 1st 5:54Penalty
  • 1st 8:05C.J. Suess (0–2)grade A · rebound · 18 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 2nd 1:01Penalty
  • 2nd 4:42Keaton Mastrodonato (1–2)high · 24 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 2nd 4:57Jack Becker (2–2)grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 2nd 19:00Axel Jonsson-Fjällby (2–3)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 2nd 19:19Penalty
  • 2nd 19:41Jeffrey Viel (2–4)5v4 · low · 54 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 2:58Axel Jonsson-Fjällby (2–5)medium · 24 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 13:23Penalty
  • 3rd 15:48Penalty
  • 3rd 15:48Penalty
  • 3rd 17:42Henri Nikkanen (2–6)empty net · low · 29 ft · beat Rémi Poirier