AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, March 3

Hershey Bears at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Hershey Bears
0:1
Final / SO
Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

HERLVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
56%44%
xG
1.41.6
High danger
22
Chances
42
Shots
1617

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LV above the lineHER belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

16Shots on goal17
4Scoring chances2
2High-danger chances2
1.44Expected goals1.58

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st3–71–10–10.2–0.4
2nd11–41–11–10.9–0.8
3rd1–31–01–00.2–0.2
OT1–31–00–00.1–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

In goal

Clay Stevenson
Shots faced
17
Saves
17
Allowed
0
xGA
1.58
GSAx
+1.58
Cal Petersen
Shots faced
16
Saves
16
Allowed
0
xGA
1.44
GSAx
+1.44

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:16Penalty
  • 1st 3:16Penalty
  • 1st 6:47Penalty
  • 1st 11:20Penalty
  • 1st 16:46Penalty
  • 2nd 9:53Penalty
  • 2nd 11:15Penalty
  • 2nd 13:27Penalty
  • 2nd 18:31Penalty
  • 3rd 3:21Penalty
  • 3rd 15:05Penalty
  • OT 3:23Penalty