Grand Rapids Griffins at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse · Cleveland, OH

Grand Rapids Griffins

3:5

Final

Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

GRCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

76%24%

xG: 4.22.9
High danger: 73
Chances: 1513
Shots: 4329

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CLE above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

43Shots on goal29

15Scoring chances13

7High-danger chances3

4.19Expected goals2.86

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	17–8	5–4	2–0	1.5–0.8
2nd	9–15	1–7	1–3	0.7–1.6
3rd	17–6	9–2	4–0	2.1–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
GR	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	3:04	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Pavel Cajan

Shots faced: 43
Saves: 40
Allowed: 3
xGA: 4.19
GSAx: +1.19

Michael Hutchinson

Shots faced: 29
Saves: 24
Allowed: 5
xGA: 2.86
GSAx: -2.14

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 2:57Penalty
1st 3:53Jonatan Berggren (1–0)5v4 · low · 59 ft · beat Pavel Cajan
1st 17:56Penalty
2nd 6:36Penalty
2nd 8:39Mikael Pyyhtiä (1–1)low · 42 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson
2nd 14:41Brendan Gaunce (1–2)medium · 19 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson
2nd 17:58Roman Ahcan (1–3)medium · 27 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson
2nd 18:28Matt Luff (2–3)low · 52 ft · beat Pavel Cajan
3rd 0:47Penalty
3rd 3:03Dominik Shine (3–3)high · 11 ft · beat Pavel Cajan
3rd 8:34Trey Fix-Wolansky (3–4)medium · 30 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson
3rd 10:51Penalty
3rd 10:51Penalty
3rd 19:05Brendan Gaunce (3–5)empty net · low · 170 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson