AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, March 8

Providence Bruins at Hartford Wolf Pack

XL Center · Hartford, CT

Providence Bruins
4:7
Final
Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

PROHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
48%52%
xG
3.44.0
High danger
46
Chances
1411
Shots
3742

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HFD above the linePRO belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

37Shots on goal42
14Scoring chances11
4High-danger chances6
3.40Expected goals4.01

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–204–61–21.0–2.0
2nd16–146–32–31.4–1.3
3rd12–84–21–11.0–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

PRO−50:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
PRO50:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.004 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Dylan Garand
Shots faced
37
Saves
33
Allowed
4
xGA
3.40
GSAx
-0.60
Michael DiPietro
Shots faced
22
Saves
18
Allowed
4
xGA
2.15
GSAx
-1.85
Brandon Bussi
Shots faced
20
Saves
17
Allowed
3
xGA
1.86
GSAx
-1.14

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:48Blade Jenkins (0–1)high · 12 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 1st 6:23Penalty
  • 1st 7:26Brett Berard (0–2)5v4 · medium · 16 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 1st 12:26Penalty
  • 1st 12:26Penalty
  • 1st 12:26Penalty
  • 1st 12:26Penalty
  • 1st 12:26Penalty
  • 1st 12:26Penalty
  • 1st 13:14Penalty
  • 1st 14:20Brett Berard (0–3)5v4 · low · 34 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 0:31Penalty
  • 2nd 1:59Penalty
  • 2nd 1:59Alex Belzile (0–4)5v4 · low · 54 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 2nd 2:35Brett Berard (0–5)5v4 · high · 16 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 2nd 3:07Penalty
  • 2nd 3:07Penalty
  • 2nd 3:07Penalty
  • 2nd 3:07Ryder Korczak (0–6)high · 13 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 2nd 6:30Patrick Brown (1–6)high · 8 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 7:34Penalty
  • 2nd 9:10Penalty
  • 2nd 11:18Nikolas Brouillard (1–7)low · 24 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 2nd 12:59Penalty
  • 2nd 14:56Oskar Steen (2–7)5v4 · high · rebound · 11 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 4:14Penalty
  • 3rd 5:04Patrick Brown (3–7)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 7:42Penalty
  • 3rd 9:11Georgii Merkulov (4–7)5v4 · medium · 29 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 10:43Penalty
  • 3rd 14:58Penalty