Chicago Wolves at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Chicago Wolves

2:1

Final / SO

Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

CHIGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

22%78%

xG: 2.13.9
High danger: 37
Chances: 713
Shots: 2635

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

GR above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal35

7Scoring chances13

3High-danger chances7

2.11Expected goals3.94

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	12–11	6–5	3–4	1.4–1.2
2nd	10–10	0–5	0–2	0.3–1.2
3rd	2–8	1–1	0–1	0.2–1.1
OT	2–6	0–2	0–0	0.2–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Adam Scheel

Shots faced: 35
Saves: 34
Allowed: 1
xGA: 3.94
GSAx: +2.94

Sebastian Cossa

Shots faced: 26
Saves: 25
Allowed: 1
xGA: 2.11
GSAx: +1.11

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 3:55Penalty
1st 8:11Tory Dello (1–0)low · 62 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
1st 13:26Taro Hirose (1–1)medium · 6 ft · beat Adam Scheel
2nd 5:35Penalty
2nd 13:04Penalty
2nd 15:44Penalty