AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, March 8

Bridgeport Islanders at Springfield Thunderbirds

MassMutual Center · Springfield, MA

Bridgeport Islanders
4:2
Final
Springfield Thunderbirds

The sheet

BRISPRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
87%13%
xG
3.71.8
High danger
71
Chances
167
Shots
3920

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SPR above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% SPR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

39Shots on goal20
16Scoring chances7
7High-danger chances1
3.72Expected goals1.80

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–34–02–00.9–0.2
2nd18–98–34–02.1–0.8
3rd9–84–41–10.7–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SPR−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SPR116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Vadim Zherenko
Shots faced
39
Saves
35
Allowed
4
xGA
3.72
GSAx
-0.28
Ken Appleby
Shots faced
20
Saves
18
Allowed
2
xGA
1.80
GSAx
-0.20

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:42William Dufour (1–0)medium · 14 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 1st 6:15Penalty
  • 1st 11:15Tyce Thompson (2–0)high · 17 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 2nd 2:24Joseph Duszak (2–1)low · 26 ft · beat Ken Appleby
  • 2nd 4:29Penalty
  • 3rd 1:57Penalty
  • 3rd 1:57Penalty
  • 3rd 1:57Penalty
  • 3rd 1:57Penalty
  • 3rd 3:16Grant Hutton (3–1)4v5 · medium · 29 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 3rd 4:05Zach Dean (3–2)high · 7 ft · beat Ken Appleby
  • 3rd 12:39Penalty
  • 3rd 12:39Penalty
  • 3rd 18:43Penalty
  • 3rd 19:05Matthew Maggio (4–2)empty net · low · 76 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko