Abbotsford Canucks at Henderson Silver Knights

The Dollar Loan Center · Henderson, NV

Abbotsford Canucks

6:0

Final

Henderson Silver Knights

The sheet

ABBHSKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

61%39%

xG: 2.62.4
High danger: 64
Chances: 109
Shots: 2227

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

HSK above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% HSK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal27

10Scoring chances9

6High-danger chances4

2.65Expected goals2.44

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	5–4	2–0	0–0	0.4–0.1
2nd	13–15	7–6	5–4	1.9–1.8
3rd	4–8	1–3	1–0	0.3–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
HSK	5	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.004 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Artūrs Šilovs

Shots faced: 27
Saves: 27
Allowed: 0
xGA: 2.44
GSAx: +2.44

Isaiah Saville

Shots faced: 15
Saves: 13
Allowed: 2
xGA: 1.45
GSAx: -0.55

Jiří Patera

Shots faced: 7
Saves: 3
Allowed: 4
xGA: 1.20
GSAx: -2.80

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 3:37John Stevens (1–0)low · wrist · 67 ft · beat Jiří Patera
1st 4:22Penalty
1st 4:52Aidan McDonough (2–0)5v4 · medium · slap · 36 ft · beat Jiří Patera
1st 10:55Sheldon Dries (3–0)medium · wrist · 21 ft · beat Jiří Patera
1st 14:35Penalty
1st 15:08Penalty
1st 15:08Penalty
1st 17:31Penalty
1st 17:31Penalty
2nd 0:52Arshdeep Bains (4–0)grade A · wrist · rebound · 8 ft · beat Jiří Patera
2nd 12:59Arshdeep Bains (5–0)high · wrist · 10 ft · beat Isaiah Saville
2nd 13:58Penalty
2nd 13:58Penalty
2nd 19:41Penalty
3rd 11:26Penalty
3rd 11:34Penalty
3rd 14:15Ty Glover (6–0)high · tip · 6 ft · beat Isaiah Saville
3rd 17:02Penalty