AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, March 9

Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Sun Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
4:2
Final
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

LVWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
75%25%
xG
4.22.9
High danger
113
Chances
197
Shots
2932

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
WBS above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal32
19Scoring chances7
11High-danger chances3
4.20Expected goals2.89

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–77–15–01.9–0.3
2nd11–119–34–11.5–1.0
3rd6–143–32–20.7–1.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

WBS−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
WBS212:12 of the 3rd7:487:48+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Parker Gahagen
Shots faced
32
Saves
30
Allowed
2
xGA
2.89
GSAx
+0.89
Joel Blomqvist
Shots faced
29
Saves
25
Allowed
4
xGA
4.20
GSAx
+0.20

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 10:36Penalty
  • 1st 11:22Penalty
  • 1st 16:17Penalty
  • 1st 19:37Penalty
  • 2nd 8:21Penalty
  • 2nd 10:36Ryan Shea (0–1)low · slap · 51 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 2nd 15:39Penalty
  • 3rd 2:00Penalty
  • 3rd 2:13Samu Tuomaala (1–1)5v4 · low · wrist · 53 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 3rd 3:42Penalty
  • 3rd 3:42Penalty
  • 3rd 3:42Penalty
  • 3rd 4:18Penalty
  • 3rd 4:18Penalty
  • 3rd 7:22Brendan Furry (2–1)4v5 · high · snap · 9 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 3rd 11:33Adam Brooks (3–1)high · snap · 17 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 3rd 13:58Evan Polei (4–1)medium · wrist · 26 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 3rd 14:38Penalty
  • 3rd 14:47Sam Poulin (4–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 44 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 3rd 19:48Penalty
  • 3rd 19:48Penalty
  • 3rd 19:48Penalty