AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, March 10

Milwaukee Admirals at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Milwaukee Admirals
4:7
Final
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

MILCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
78%22%
xG
4.02.5
High danger
81
Chances
1011
Shots
2525

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineMIL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal25
10Scoring chances11
8High-danger chances1
3.96Expected goals2.51

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–73–42–00.9–0.8
2nd10–93–53–01.6–1.0
3rd8–94–23–11.5–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

MIL−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
MIL212:12 of the 3rd7:487:48+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Troy Grosenick
Shots faced
25
Saves
18
Allowed
7
xGA
2.51
GSAx
-4.49
Adam Scheel
Shots faced
25
Saves
21
Allowed
4
xGA
3.96
GSAx
-0.04

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:44Egor Afanasyev (1–0)grade A · 5 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 1st 1:46Penalty
  • 1st 4:21Penalty
  • 1st 4:21Penalty
  • 1st 4:21Adam Wilsby (2–0)low · 59 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 1st 5:49Penalty
  • 1st 6:05Cole Schneider (2–1)5v4 · medium · 58 ft · beat Troy Grosenick
  • 1st 10:16Dominic Franco (2–2)medium · 12 ft · beat Troy Grosenick
  • 1st 15:46Penalty
  • 1st 18:51Penalty
  • 2nd 6:00Hudson Elynuik (2–3)medium · 21 ft · beat Troy Grosenick
  • 2nd 7:44Penalty
  • 2nd 13:58Tye Felhaber (3–3)grade A · 194 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 2nd 15:00Cavan Fitzgerald (3–4)medium · rebound · 26 ft · beat Troy Grosenick
  • 2nd 19:18Penalty
  • 2nd 19:18Penalty
  • 3rd 3:05Penalty
  • 3rd 4:51Penalty
  • 3rd 5:39Nathan Sucese (3–5)4v5 · medium · 23 ft · beat Troy Grosenick
  • 3rd 9:07Phil Tomasino (4–5)grade A · 2 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 3rd 9:13Penalty
  • 3rd 9:13Penalty
  • 3rd 9:13Penalty
  • 3rd 10:58Cavan Fitzgerald (4–6)5v4 · high · 28 ft · beat Troy Grosenick
  • 3rd 14:07Penalty
  • 3rd 14:07Penalty
  • 3rd 16:21Penalty
  • 3rd 19:24Nathan Sucese (4–7)empty net · low · 28 ft · beat Troy Grosenick