AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, March 13

Hartford Wolf Pack at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Hartford Wolf Pack
0:4
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

HFDCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
15%85%
xG
1.53.1
High danger
16
Chances
711
Shots
2035

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal35
7Scoring chances11
1High-danger chances6
1.53Expected goals3.11

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st4–120–10–10.2–0.7
2nd12–125–50–40.9–1.2
3rd4–112–51–10.4–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Dylan Garand
Shots faced
35
Saves
31
Allowed
4
xGA
3.11
GSAx
-0.89
Spencer Knight
Shots faced
20
Saves
20
Allowed
0
xGA
1.53
GSAx
+1.53

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 15:31Penalty
  • 2nd 2:39Penalty
  • 2nd 3:28Will Lockwood (0–1)5v4 · high · 22 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 7:21Wilmer Skoog (0–2)low · 13 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 11:01Patrick Giles (0–3)high · 16 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 15:26Penalty
  • 2nd 18:33Penalty
  • 2nd 19:23Penalty
  • 3rd 1:15Penalty
  • 3rd 1:49Penalty
  • 3rd 5:33Mackie Samoskevich (0–4)5v4 · low · 30 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 6:23Penalty
  • 3rd 11:43Penalty