Bridgeport Islanders at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Bridgeport Islanders

1:5

Final

Laval Rocket

The sheet

BRILAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

23%77%

xG: 2.74.2
High danger: 26
Chances: 1120
Shots: 2737

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

LAV above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal37

11Scoring chances20

2High-danger chances6

2.73Expected goals4.15

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	5–12	2–6	1–2	0.6–1.3
2nd	11–17	6–12	0–3	1.0–2.2
3rd	11–8	3–2	1–1	1.2–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
BRI	4	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.012 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jakub Dobeš

Shots faced: 27
Saves: 26
Allowed: 1
xGA: 2.73
GSAx: +1.73

Ken Appleby

Shots faced: 22
Saves: 17
Allowed: 5
xGA: 2.89
GSAx: -2.11

Henrik Tikkanen

Shots faced: 15
Saves: 15
Allowed: 0
xGA: 1.26
GSAx: +1.26

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 9:28Penalty
1st 15:39Penalty
1st 17:57Tobie Bisson (0–1)low · wrist · 51 ft · beat Ken Appleby
1st 18:53Olivier Galipeau (0–2)low · snap · 57 ft · beat Ken Appleby
1st 19:24Penalty
2nd 1:04Brandon Gignac (0–3)4v5 · high · wrist · 14 ft · beat Ken Appleby
2nd 5:32Lias Andersson (0–4)medium · snap · 20 ft · beat Ken Appleby
2nd 7:43Sean Farrell (0–5)medium · backhand · 16 ft · beat Ken Appleby
2nd 10:23Penalty
2nd 11:09Julien Gauthier (1–5)5v4 · low · tip · 51 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš