AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, March 13

Henderson Silver Knights at Tucson Roadrunners

Tucson Convention Center Arena · Tucson, AZ

Henderson Silver Knights
2:6
Final
Tucson Roadrunners

The sheet

HSKTUCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
77%23%
xG
4.32.5
High danger
72
Chances
1511
Shots
3632

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TUC above the lineHSK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% TUC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

36Shots on goal32
15Scoring chances11
7High-danger chances2
4.25Expected goals2.51

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st18–96–24–12.1–0.6
2nd5–112–40–00.5–0.8
3rd13–127–53–11.7–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HSK−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HSK214:39 of the 3rd5:215:21+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Dylan Wells
Shots faced
36
Saves
34
Allowed
2
xGA
4.25
GSAx
+2.25
Isaiah Saville
Shots faced
32
Saves
26
Allowed
6
xGA
2.51
GSAx
-3.49

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:18Penalty
  • 1st 6:18Penalty
  • 1st 7:03Vladislav Kolyachonok (0–1)medium · 16 ft · beat Isaiah Saville
  • 1st 12:59Sheldon Rempal (1–1)low · 23 ft · beat Dylan Wells
  • 1st 18:19Cameron Crotty (1–2)low · 60 ft · beat Isaiah Saville
  • 1st 19:46Penalty
  • 1st 19:46Penalty
  • 1st 19:46Penalty
  • 1st 19:59Byron Froese (2–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 5 ft · beat Dylan Wells
  • 2nd 5:08Penalty
  • 2nd 15:59Penalty
  • 2nd 18:50Penalty
  • 3rd 0:36Penalty
  • 3rd 1:24Steven Kampfer (2–3)5v4 · low · 50 ft · beat Isaiah Saville
  • 3rd 4:42Penalty
  • 3rd 14:39Jan Jeník (2–4)medium · 16 ft · beat Isaiah Saville
  • 3rd 16:17Nate Smith (2–5)high · 15 ft · beat Isaiah Saville
  • 3rd 17:32Jan Jeník (2–6)empty net · medium · 19 ft · beat Isaiah Saville