AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, March 15

Bridgeport Islanders at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Bridgeport Islanders
1:3
Final
Laval Rocket

The sheet

BRILAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
47%53%
xG
3.12.9
High danger
65
Chances
1312
Shots
3026

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal26
13Scoring chances12
6High-danger chances5
3.14Expected goals2.87

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–104–51–20.8–1.2
2nd16–126–54–21.8–1.2
3rd5–43–21–10.5–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI212:12 of the 3rd7:487:48+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jakub Dobeš
Shots faced
30
Saves
29
Allowed
1
xGA
3.14
GSAx
+2.14
Jakub Skarek
Shots faced
26
Saves
23
Allowed
3
xGA
2.87
GSAx
-0.13

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:03Tobie Bisson (0–1)high · rebound · 18 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 1st 1:57Ruslan Iskhakov (1–1)medium · 25 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 1st 5:16Riley Kidney (1–2)high · 19 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 1st 11:48Penalty
  • 2nd 12:41Penalty
  • 2nd 16:57Penalty
  • 2nd 17:13Philippe Maillet (1–3)5v4 · low · 44 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 3rd 7:34Penalty
  • 3rd 7:34Penalty
  • 3rd 9:51Penalty
  • 3rd 12:08Penalty