Calgary Wranglers at Colorado Eagles

Blue Federal Credit Union Arena · Loveland, CO

Calgary Wranglers

2:1

Final / SO

Colorado Eagles

The sheet

CGYCOLSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

56%44%

xG: 3.43.1
High danger: 65
Chances: 1312
Shots: 3333

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

COL above the lineCGY belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% COL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal33

13Scoring chances12

6High-danger chances5

3.43Expected goals3.11

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	14–9	6–3	4–1	1.7–0.9
2nd	9–13	2–5	0–2	0.6–1.3
3rd	7–10	4–4	1–2	0.8–0.9
OT	3–1	1–0	1–0	0.3–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Ivan Prosvetov

Shots faced: 33
Saves: 32
Allowed: 1
xGA: 3.43
GSAx: +2.43

Oscar Dansk

Shots faced: 33
Saves: 32
Allowed: 1
xGA: 3.11
GSAx: +2.11

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 0:37Penalty
1st 4:29Penalty
1st 13:16Jonathan Aspirot (1–0)low · 35 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
1st 16:16Penalty
1st 16:16Penalty
2nd 12:13Ondrej Pavel (1–1)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
2nd 12:42Penalty
2nd 14:44Penalty
2nd 17:41Penalty