AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, March 17

Springfield Thunderbirds at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Springfield Thunderbirds
6:4
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

SPRCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
29%71%
xG
2.75.0
High danger
68
Chances
1123
Shots
2446

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineSPR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal46
11Scoring chances23
6High-danger chances8
2.66Expected goals5.03

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–134–53–30.9–1.3
2nd9–163–111–40.8–2.2
3rd8–174–72–11.0–1.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLT−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLT212:08 of the 3rd7:527:52+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Colten Ellis
Shots faced
46
Saves
42
Allowed
4
xGA
5.03
GSAx
+1.03
Magnus Hellberg
Shots faced
24
Saves
18
Allowed
6
xGA
2.66
GSAx
-3.34

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:56Zac Dalpe (0–1)high · 14 ft · beat Colten Ellis
  • 1st 3:33Penalty
  • 1st 5:22Ryan Suzuki (1–1)5v4 · high · 10 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 1st 8:41Penalty
  • 1st 11:05Penalty
  • 1st 13:42Penalty
  • 1st 14:32Rasmus Asplund (1–2)4v5 · low · 46 ft · beat Colten Ellis
  • 2nd 0:19Adam Gaudette (2–2)low · 43 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 2nd 1:09Wilmer Skoog (2–3)medium · rebound · 35 ft · beat Colten Ellis
  • 2nd 2:19Penalty
  • 2nd 7:28Penalty
  • 2nd 8:32Gerry Mayhew (2–4)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Colten Ellis
  • 2nd 10:25Ryan Suzuki (3–4)low · 29 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 2nd 11:09Penalty
  • 2nd 16:32Penalty
  • 2nd 16:59Will Bitten (4–4)5v4 · high · 8 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 3rd 0:31Penalty
  • 3rd 2:30Jakub Vrana (5–4)5v4 · high · 8 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 3rd 7:35Penalty
  • 3rd 8:44Penalty
  • 3rd 9:26Dylan Coghlan (6–4)low · 26 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 3rd 16:44Penalty
  • 3rd 19:50Penalty